The ruling party has a 22 per cent head start of the legislature ahead of the 2016 general elections, writes SULAIMAN KAKAIRE.

Of the 402 gazetted parliamentary seats in the forthcoming elections, opposition parties will not compete in 91 constituencies, key Electoral Commission data on nominations shows.

For instance, no opposition party has fielded a candidate in 51 of the 290 directly-elected parliamentary constituencies and in 40 out of the 112 women seats. In the 91 constituencies without opposition candidates, nine ruling party candidates have already been declared unopposed.

They include Thomas Tayebwa(Ruhinda North), Barnabas Tinkasiimire(Buyaga West), Jessica Ababiku (Adjumani Woman MP), Gafabusa M.R (Bwamba), Pius Wakabi (Bugahya), Mike Asiimwe (Busongora West), Margaret Baba Diri (Koboko Woman), Namoe Stella Nyomero (Napak Woman) and Justine Khainza (Bududa Woman).

Opposition politicians (L-R) Mathias Nsubuga, Amama Mbabazi, Norbert Mao, and Olara Otunnu

The remaining 82 seats have NRM nominees competing against NRM party members who lost in the primaries. The opposition also steered clear of Bwamba, Igara West, Bugahya, Buhaguzi, Ndorwa East, Bunyangabu, Burahya county, Fort Portal, Bugabula South, Tingey, Kapchorwa, Busongora West, Buyaga East, Buyaga West, Bugangaizi East, Kiboga East, Kisoro municipality and Jie county.

Others are Buruli, Matheniko, Moroto municipality, Tapeth, Buwekula, Kibaale, Kooki, Buyamba, Adjumani West, Adjumani East, Budyebo, Mawogola North, Bbaale, Mwenge Central, Bunya East, Kongasis, Bunyole West, Dodoth East, Dodoth West, Ik, Nyabushozi, Koboko North, Labwor, Kachumbala, Upe, Kyaka South, Bulambuli, Butemba, Bukooli island, Ruhinda North and Napak.

And there are no opposition women eyeing the following district seats; Bundibugyo, Kabarole, Sheema, Napak, Kalangala, Kibaale, Kisoro, Kotido, Masindi, Moroto, Moyo, Nebbi, Adjumani, Busia, Nakasongola, Kamwenge and Kayunga.

Others are Yumbe, Nakapiripirit, Bukwo, Isingiro, Kaabong, Koboko, Abim, Buliisa, Maracha, Bududa, Bukedea, Amudat, Buikwe, Kyegegwa, Lamwo, Zombo, Buvuma, Gomba, Kiryandongo, Kyankwanzi, Luuka, Ntoroko and Butambala.

FDC DOMINATES 

Data shows that the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) has the highest number of nominated parliamentary candidates among the opposition parties. FDC has fielded candidates in 262 constituencies out of the 400 available slots. Of those, 203 are competing for direct seats while 59 are gunning for women parliamentary seats.

The Democratic Party (DP) follows closely with 103 candidates, of which 85 are competing for direct seats and 18 for women parliamentary seats. Uganda People’s Congress (UPC) has only 32 candidates while Justice Forum (Jeema) has 11. The rest of the opposition parties have less than five candidates.

SOURCE OF PROBLEM

Although failure to field candidates across the country is mainly attributed to the opposition’s failure to set up strong structures across the country, some in the opposition dispute that notion.

Appearing on Kkiriza Oba Gaana, a political talk-show on CBS FM, outgoing Makindye West MP Hussein Kyanjo said the low numbers of opposition candidates is a result of political suppression.

“It is not true that there is no political dissent in those parts but people have been suppressed and subjected to all sorts of political violence and as such some of them have chosen to stand in urban areas,” he said.

The senior member of Jeema added that opposition candidates chose to stand in urban areas because the state cannot openly harass them without attracting embarrassing media publicity.

His assertions reinforce the argument by outspoken political activist Vincent Nuwagaba. The latter claims his nomination for Ruhinda North seat was illegally blocked to leave NRM’s Thomas Tayebwa unopposed.  “They [EC] refused to nominate me but there was no justification,” he said.

Ishaa Otto, the UPC secretary for mobilisation, blamed his party’s low figure on numerous legal battles between the rival presidential camps.

“We have been in legal battles with the NRM through Akena [Jimmy Akena, the Lira municipality MP]. Our candidates could not be nominated as UPC but we convinced a number of them to stand as independents,” Otto said.

Otto adds that the party had planned to field 49 candidates under The Democratic Alliance (TDA), a loose coalition of opposition political parties and democracy-seeking groupings. But that didn’t happen because TDA collapsed before it crystallised into a viable platform to promote candidates. “We hoped that this could help us get the people who should carry our flag but it did not happen,” he said.

IMPLICATION

Godber Tumushabe is an associate director at Great Lakes Institute for Strategic Studies (Gliss), a regional policy think-tank. He said that without a sizable number of opposition candidates across the country, any successful opposition presidential candidate would find difficulty influencing legislative agenda.

Meanwhile, FDC secretary general Nathan Nandala-Mafabi said the party has negotiated alliances with independents and other opposition-friendly forces. “As far as we know, we have fielded candidates across the country because we have entered into an understanding with many independents,” he said.

Currently more than 1,000 candidates are standing as independents and in every constituency, except those with unopposed NRM members, there is an independent candidate. 

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Comments

-4 #1 Nakasero 2016-01-18 11:29
Godber, Godber, show us the money!!Where is the money Godber>>>?????

Dida, this individual received two million dollars( 2.000.000 US green bucks) to cause trouble in Uganda!Godber,G odber.....
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0 #2 keneth 2016-01-18 11:56
Where do we find Busongora West constituency in Uganda?
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0 #3 Mama Mia 2016-01-18 15:29
And the usual noisy makers I mean the likes of Gwok, Webeshit, Suleman, Ainembabazi, and the new kid in the house Baguma Kinkizi Ismail have nothing to say on this one. Sorry bad loserssssssssss .
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-3 #4 webeshixty 2016-01-18 16:10
Quoting Mama Mia:
And the usual noisy makers I mean the likes of Gwok, Webeshit, Suleman, Ainembabazi, and the new kid in the house Baguma Kinkizi Ismail have nothing to say on this one. Sorry bad loserssssssssss.


Be reminded Uganda is a diverse entity where your kind are tolerated, see how you stick out like a sore thumb?

Thank God, 18'th Feb is only 4 weeks away, we leave the West to put their corner in order. Failure to self cleanse carries with it a huge collective price, no oily dough!
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-4 #5 Eddy 2016-01-18 16:12
As far as I know, we've ONLY Busongora North, and Busongora South. Sulaiman, where did you get your data from?

And those Busongora constituencies are opposition strongholds, with North currently held by William Nzoghu, and still returning. In the South, Boaz Kafuda is headed for thumping. Get facts Mr Author.
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+3 #6 fkyyyyyy 2016-01-18 16:31
You will hear them crying "batubye"!
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+1 #7 Ainembabazi 2016-01-18 16:46
Quoting webeshixty:
Quoting Mama Mia:
And the usual noisy makers I mean the likes of Gwok, Webeshit, Suleman, Ainembabazi, and the new kid in the house Baguma Kinkizi Ismail have nothing to say on this one. Sorry bad loserssssssssss.


Be reminded Uganda is a diverse entity where your kind are tolerated, see how you stick out like a sore thumb?

Thank God, 18'th Feb is only 4 weeks away, we leave the West to put their corner in order. Failure to self cleanse carries with it a huge collective price, no oily dough!


All they can do is suppression. Let them level the ground, put an truly independent EC, and they see.
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+1 #8 Kelly 2016-01-18 17:28
"Butabika" (Nakasero), Dida, and now Mama Mia you can sound the drum of victory but underlying this report are a number of key facts that we cannot just wish away.

You can't for example discount the fact that the NRM (or NRMO whichever the pseudo name is) is fused with the state as such anyone affiliated with the "no party" NRM will start from a position of advantage.

Have you not seen ministers, RDCs, Presidential Advisers...and other functionaries dropping and visiting their children at school, attending churches and other functions in government registered vehicles?

What that means is by abusing state power, Museveni is directly making it difficult for opposition who can't access state resources to scrap through using the bare minimum.

Secondly, as in most wretched countries of the third world, the dictators have the tendency of again making competition very expensive for the opposition by literally stretching the opposition through creation of numerous constituencies.

Otherwise what rationale does one give for the districts of Kotido (122,541), Napak (112,692), Abim (51,803), Amudat (63,572), Moroto (77,243), Nakapiripirit (90,171), Kwen (67,171) total population 585,944 each having a woman member of parliament and are NRM leaning hence a total of 7 seats yet Kampala (1,189,142), Wakiso (907,988), Mukono (423,052) and Buikwe (329,850) total population 2,850,032 have a total of 4 women members of parliament?

If we take on the basis of ratios, then the four later districts would have 35. Those are almost 90% opposition members!!!
Thirdly, you can't just sweep under the carpet the effect of government functionaries on the capacity of the opposition to organize. RDC, GISOs, RISOs, DISOs are all over the place under the guise of monitoring "security" to intimidate and disperse any semblance of organizations by opposition.

Moreover most of these appointees are failures in elective policies. So you can imagine the zealousness with which they carry out their activism!!

Not long ago in neighboring Kenya, if you weren’t a KANU sympathizer life would be miserable for you. KANU functionaries boasted of how they moved and shook the country (just like the Butabikas, Didas, Janes, Mama Mias of this world).

However as soon as Moi was evicted from state house, no one literally wants to be associated with KANU and indeed it has been totally decimated.

God forbid I long to see the day Museveni will be indisposed off by either nature or otherwise (I am not a sadist by the way and neither do I wish anyone bad!!), that’s when we shall see the so called screaming headlines of NRMO dominating politics in this country.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you!!!!
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+1 #9 Mubiiru 2016-01-18 19:28
Stealing votes called "winning elections" is a long process which starts very early even before campaigns begin..

When you split NRM supporting areas into mini-tribal units called districts or "constituencies ", you have already guaranteed NRM success and monopoly of parliamentary seats through fraudulent demarcation.

Kelly has rightly exposed the robbery. Rigging of voting and intimidating of people to vote "wisely" on polling day, including votes (mis) "counting" are the final stages of diabolical election malpractices.

By the time the aliens, the so called Election Observers, come to enjoy their holidays and ridiculous financial allowances, in the name of preventing any foul play and ensuring the exercise is transparent, the votes are already stolen.

Their standard recommendations : The elections were "free and fair" when the opposite is the accurate conclusion.
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-1 #10 Mama Mia 2016-01-18 19:57
oyi oyi I knew I had stuck a finger leopard's fanny. Kelly, webeshixt, Suleman, Gwok, Ainekihuzombaba zi are behaving like swivel eyed loons here. Y

ou must be enjoying some of the Temangalo and OPM loot. Fortunately Ugandans are not giving you anymore chances to steal from the the tax payers.

They have opted to keep the flow of development with Movement at the helm. Use the proceeds of the loot responsibly and keep enjoying driving on smooth tarmacked roads, and ever improving health facilities.
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+1 #11 WADADA rogers 2016-01-18 22:57
That explains why NRM is here to stay. It is only a stupid independent who will win his election only to join the opposition in Parliament, its not possible and it is not going to happen.

Nandala's arguments tantamount to wishful thinking. After elections, both losers are winners are in a financial crisis, NRM will be there to bankroll these guys to sign MOUs with them.
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-2 #12 Kyatan - Satan 2016-01-19 10:30
Quoting Nakasero:
Godber, Godber, show us the money!!Where is the money Godber>>>?????

Dida, this individual received two million dollars( 2.000.000 US green bucks) to cause trouble in Uganda!Godber,Godber.....


Easy. We have two separate elections here - presidential and parliamentary.

As for the latter, we cn almost count candidate M7 out now. As for the former, factor (a) in the expected large number of independents in the run.

IF most of these make it to parliament and IF they remain functionally indipendent in parliament, their presence should contribute towards the balacing out that NRM-M7's head-start.

(b) most of the parliamentary independent candidates were generated by the NRM-M7 primary selection processes.

As NRM-M7 losers, most of those indipendents can be expected to be nursing their wounds. Some were also "accussd" of being GF (= NRM-JAM) sympathisers.

That may as well be the case, and IF functionally they are GF-NRM-JAM's, their impact should similarly contribute to the cancelling out of that NRM-M7 head start too. In summary: NRM-7 is unlikely to have another rubber-stump parliament this time. MY OPINION ONLY.
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0 #13 webeshixty 2016-01-19 12:09
Quoting Kelly:
"Butabika" (Nakasero), Dida, and now Mama Mia you can sound the drum of victory but underlying this report are a number of key facts that we cannot just wish away.


This Nags outfit can mutate into Nyangau Mia & Me Myself & I thinking nobody will notice!

Too bad, I have zero sympathy for Burundian haven seekers who have no manners. Be ready to head back to PK outpost if you hear the leopard spots is out of fashion.

Geneva laws only applies to the first perch where you first sought sanctuary!
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+1 #14 Mama Mia 2016-01-19 19:55
Quoting webeshixty:
Quoting Kelly:
"Butabika" (Nakasero), Dida, and now Mama Mia you can sound the drum of victory but underlying this report are a number of key facts that we cannot just wish away.


This Nags outfit can mutate into Nyangau Mia & Me Myself & I thinking nobody will notice!

Too bad, I have zero sympathy for Burundian haven seekers who have no manners. Be ready to head back to PK outpost if you hear the leopard spots is out of fashion.

Geneva laws only applies to the first perch where you first sought sanctuary!


Webeshit you talk s**t mate you should thank M7 for saving your tribe from being wiped out by Gen. Riaka Machar. There is peace and oil in your homeland so go home.
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0 #15 sn 2016-01-19 23:03
Do we even need this multitude of useless characters in parliament?

The trick of manipulation by creating new districts and constituencies is responsible for this artificial imbalance.

In these new districts or constituencies intimidation reigns high.

The declared results are a direct outcome of manipulation, intimidation and political scheming. Nothing to do with open, free and fair competition.
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0 #16 sn 2016-01-20 07:06
Quoting Mama Mia:
And the usual noisy makers I mean the likes of Gwok, Webeshit, Suleman, Ainembabazi, and the new kid in the house Baguma Kinkizi Ismail have nothing to say on this one. Sorry bad loserssssssssss.


While the sycophants and bootlickers cheer on oblivious of the reality and reason. Collecting useless villages, not fit to be on a village council, and using them to pass Museveni legislation takes this country nowhere and is simply a recipe for the inevitable.

There is no room for sycophants when it comes to matters of state. Somehow the situation must be corrected and corrected soon!!!

An end must be put to this madness of sycophants shouting so loudly because they are well paid to do so at state expense.

May reason and responsibility come down and take over immediately. Enough is enough. Our country must be reclaimed urgently. We owe it to our future generations.
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0 #17 sn 2016-01-20 07:14
Quoting Kelly:
"Butabika" (Nakasero), Dida, and now Mama Mia you can sound the drum of victory but underlying this report are a number of key facts that we cannot just wish away.

You can't for example discount the fact that the NRM (or NRMO whichever the pseudo name is) is fused with the state as such anyone affiliated with the "no party" NRM will start from a position of advantage.

Have you not seen ministers, RDCs, Presidential Advisers...and other functionaries dropping and visiting their children at school, attending churches and other functions in government registered vehicles?

What that means is by abusing state power, Museveni is directly making it difficult for opposition who can't access state resources to scrap through using the bare minimum.

Secondly, as in most wretched countries of the third world, the dictators have the tendency of again making competition very expensive for the opposition by literally stretching the opposition through creation of numerous constituencies.

Otherwise what rationale does one give for the districts of Kotido (122,541), Napak (112,692), Abim (51,803), Amudat (63,572), Moroto (77,243), Nakapiripirit (90,171), Kwen (67,171) total population 585,944 each having a woman member of parliament and are NRM leaning hence a total of 7 seats yet Kampala (1,189,142), Wakiso (907,988), Mukono (423,052) and Buikwe (329,850) total population 2,850,032 have a total of 4 women members of parliament?

If we take on the basis of ratios, then the four later districts would have 35. Those are almost 90% opposition members!!!

Thirdly, you can't just sweep under the carpet the effect of government functionaries on the capacity of the opposition to organize. RDC, GISOs, RISOs, DISOs are all over the place under the guise of monitoring "security" to intimidate and disperse any semblance of organizations by opposition.

Moreover most of these appointees are failures in elective policies. So you can imagine the zealousness with which they carry out their activism!!

Not long ago in neighboring Kenya, if you weren’t a KANU sympathizer life would be miserable for you. KANU functionaries boasted of how they moved and shook the country (just like the Butabikas, Didas, Janes, Mama Mias of this world).

However as soon as Moi was evicted from state house, no one literally wants to be associated with KANU and indeed it has been totally decimated.

God forbid I long to see the day Museveni will be indisposed off by either nature or otherwise (I am not a sadist by the way and neither do I wish anyone bad!!), that’s when we shall see the so called screaming headlines of NRMO dominating politics in this country.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you!!!!


Who needs these useless women MPs when we have real women who are competing with real men and some will win?

What can those useless ones do? It is absolute abuse of power which is a criminal act. Waste of state resources in the midst of poverty.
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0 #18 webeshixty 2016-01-21 21:08
Quoting Mama Mia:
Quoting webeshixty:
Quoting Kelly:
"Butabika" (Nakasero), Dida, and now Mama Mia you can sound the drum of victory but underlying this report are a number of key facts that we cannot just wish away.


This Nags outfit can mutate into Nyangau Mia & Me Myself & I thinking nobody will notice!

Too bad, I have zero sympathy for Burundian haven seekers who have no manners. Be ready to head back to PK outpost if you hear the leopard spots is out of fashion.

Geneva laws only applies to the first perch where you first sought sanctuary!


Webeshit you talk s**t mate you should thank M7 for saving your tribe from being wiped out by Gen. Riaka Machar. There is peace and oil in your homeland so go home.


Glad you acknowledge I still got some oily bush to call home, commiseration to some scroungers whose yesterdays is premised on donor alms for doing the dirty laundry. Sadman Hussein & GadHuffy were all favourites before fate dealt them a hand, a fortnight from now we will be balancing the books.

I hope you, too, can lay claim to some forms of bookkeeping. Otherwise, the odds are stacked up against some soft bellied monsters some place.
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